Worried you’re flunking out of your fantasy league? Concerned your roster isn’t playoff material? How about overzealous to scrap some of your top draft picks for waiver-wire saviors? We’ve been there.
It’s only Week 6, so don’t kill yourself over imperfect lineups or bad luck.
There’s time to recover, and our picks for Green Bay’s clash against rival Chicago could help do the trick.
In case you’ve had a memory lapse and forgotten our nomenclature, here’s your weekly refresher.
3, 2, 1 … Go:
Packers WR Davante Adams | Confidence Clip: 100%
This blurb likely is going to shorten each week. If you’re not rocking with Adams in your fantasy lineup, you’re colluding with other players in your league (it’s highly frowned upon, but collusion is a real thing). Adams is coming off a career-best 206 receiving yards against Cincinnati -- he’s the seventh Packers player to hit the 200-yard threshold since 1950. Good luck in advance to Bears CB Jaylon Johnson.
Bears QB Justin Fields | Confidence Clip: 75%
The rookie quarterback has completed just 29 of 57 throws (51%) in three starts and accounted for just two scores all season (once through the air and once on the ground). Chicago is 2-1 with Fields at the helm, not because of his booming performances or promising athletic ability but a complementary run game and under-the-radar defense. Sooo, why is he listed as a must-start option for Week 6? We think he’s catching Green Bay at an opportune moment. The Packers’ pass rush doesn’t compare to Cleveland or Las Vegas, who sacked Fields a combined 11 times, and its secondary is currently wrecked by injuries. Add the need to keep pace with Green Bay’s offense to the equation and Fields is looking at a career day.
Packers QB Aaron Rodgers | Confidence Clip: 100%
Like Adams, there’s no reason to dwell on starting Rodgers. He’s completing 65.6% of his passes and has tossed 10 touchdowns against one interception since Week 2. In 25 career games against Chicago, Rodgers has averaged 241 passing yards and a little over two touchdowns. The Bears defense has allowed just eight passing touchdowns in five games -- a metric that is better than 14 other teams -- and leads the league with 18 sacks … but also is tied for eighth worst in passing yards allowed per attempt (8.0). With the NFL’s best receiver in his corner and a firecracker release, Rodgers, again, is a no-brainer.
Packers RB Aaron Jones | Confidence Clip: 70%
We certainly won’t blame you if you’re unmoved to bench Jones after he compiled his most impressive rushing performance this year. No. 33 toted the rock 14 times for 103 yards against the Bengals and even saw five targets in the passing game (though he gained just six yards on four catches). We will, however, point out that Jones hasn’t fared well against the Bears in seven career games -- he’s finished below 100 scrimmage yards in each; his best showing was Week 12 last season when he rushed 17 times for 90 yards -- and might be worth sitting, particularly if you can acquire another back we mention below.
Bears DST | Confidence Clip: 50%
We’ve hinted at some aspects that make Chicago’s defense an intriguing play depending on matchups, such as getting after the quarterback and bending but not breaking in the secondary -- the Bears also are one of eight teams to hold opponents under four yards per carry -- but we feel it’d be misleading if we didn’t emphasize the latter part of that statement: depending on matchups. And, Green Bay isn’t a friendly one at that. Chicago showed it’s susceptible against the pass in Week 1 against the Rams -- Matt Stafford threw for 312 yards in the 34-14 romp -- and can be overpowered between the tackles, like it was when Cleveland racked up 215 rushing yards in another 20-point loss. Sunday kicks off an excruciating next nine weeks for the Bears defense, which features a pair of tilts against the Packers, and contests versus Tampa Bay, San Francisco, Pittsburgh, Baltimore and Arizona. It’s all about the matchup.
Bears RB Khalil Herbert | Confidence Clip: 55%
Damien Williams was placed on the reserve/COVID-19 list Thursday. That makes Herbert the best play in the Bears backfield. The rookie from Virginia Tech has the opportunity to be special in what likely will be his first start. Herbert and Williams essentially split duties down the middle in last week’s win over Las Vegas -- Herbert played 34 snaps to Williams’ 31 and outrushed the ex-Chiefs playoff hero 75 yards to 64. But with Williams out and Herbert now the featured back, he could be an under-the-radar waiver wire addition to your squad and lead to a fantasy win in Week 6.
Bears WR Darnell Mooney | Confidence Clip: 75%
Mooney is the top dog in Chicago’s passing attack (he leads the team in targets, receptions and yards), which may not say a whole lot. Nevertheless, it’s enough encouragement to slide him in your flex position and hope he and Fields connect on a bomb … or two -- Mooney’s one of 20 receivers in the league with a long catch on the year of 60+ yards. He’s been targeted at least seven times in three of five games this season and set a career high with 125 yards versus the Lions. So you know Fields’ favoritism for Mooney, we’ll note that the Ohio State rookie threw for 209 yards in that Week 4 win -- Mooney accounted for about 60% of that yardage. We’ll let you put two and two together ... Fields is one of our “Rockers” … Fields and Mooney have established chemistry.
Bears WR Allen Robinson | Confidence Clip: 60%
Mooney’s evolution and early rhythm with Fields hurts Robinson’s stock. So does Chicago’s noncommitment to airing it out (Fields hasn’t attempted more than 20 passes in a game). Robinson hasn’t seen double-digit targets since Week 1 and has eclipsed 50 receiving yards just once. We do think there’s the potential for him to boom this week, though, because Jaire Alexander is shelved and Kevin King is hampered by injuries. Let’s not forget Robinson caught 98 and 102 balls in consecutive 1,000-yard campaigns in 2019-20. There is one thing worth monitoring: He popped up on Wednesday’s injury report with an ankle ailment. Our wise-guy take: Fields would be well off milking a veteran of Robinson’s caliber.