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Jan 15, 2022; Cincinnati, Ohio, USA; Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (28) with the stiff arm during the second quarter in an AFC Wild Card playoff football game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joseph Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports

Leading up to the NFL regular season, Bally Sports’ resident truffle pig, Brad Evans, scours legal sports in a search of prop market inefficiencies he’s willing to slap some action on. Fade or follow? That, of course, is up to you. (Note: All bets are worth 1 unit plus the juice. Example: -115 = 1.15 units wagered.)

The Line: Josh Jacobs 750.5 rushing yards (-115, DraftKings)

In a ridiculous AFC West where its members are sure to cannibalize one another, the action is sure to be hot and heavy throughout the 2022 NFL season. Knowing what the Broncos, Chiefs and Chargers cooked up this offseason, the Raiders matched swaying opponent moves with a deft and decisive hand of their own by adding five-time Pro Bowl wideout Davante Adams from Green Bay, Adams, Hunter Renfrow and Darren Waller give quarterback Derek Carr the necessary weapons to ceaselessly bomb the competition.

Their presence also benefits Jacobs greatly.

Underloaded boxes are sure to be a constant, providing the rusher with generous room to sprint upfield. Yes, occasional nicks and scrapes have limited Jacobs from achieving his full potential. As a result, his YAC per attempt and missed tackle percentage has dipped from career high marks in 2020. Still, he registered a respectable 2.84 YAC/attempt and 57 total defender whiffs last season, the latter the third-highest among qualifying RBs. Without much competition for touches, he’s likely to grip the pigskin 235-500 times and is a good bet for 850-plus ground yards, even behind a questionable offensive line.

The verdict: OVER.

Previous NFL Season-Long Prop Bets

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