BOSTON, MA - APRIL 09: David Ortiz #34 of the Boston Red Sox watches the ball after hitting a three-run home run in the 8th inning against the Texas Rangers at Fenway Park on April 9, 2014 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Images)

MLB announces the Baseball Writers' Association of America portion of the Hall of Fame ballot next Tuesday, so now is a good time to review new candidates and holdovers who could gain induction to Cooperstown in 2022.

Two respective historical committees already voted in Bud Fowler and Buck O’Neil as pioneers/executives from the Early Baseball Era, along with Gil Hodges, Jim Kaat, Minnie Miñoso and Tony Oliva as players from the Golden Days Era. It’s possible that the MLB writers won’t add any more new members, though Red Sox slugger David Ortiz is performing well among ballots that have been revealed to the public. Players need at least 75 percent of the vote to gain induction.

Bally Sports will preview the upcoming Cooperstown announcement in two parts, beginning with players on the ballot for the first time. The group notably includes Ortiz, Álex Rodríguez and Tim Lincecum, who all retired after the 2016 season. Players need at least 5% of the vote to remain on the ballot for the next season and can stay on the ballot for up to 10 years.

We’ll take a look at the holdovers — who notably include Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Curt Schilling, Scott Rolen and Omar Vizquel — on Monday.

David Ortiz

Many ballplayers who made the Hall of Fame also got released at some point during their career. If it happens, it usually does toward (or at) the end. In Ortiz's case, it happened after he turned 27 years old, about 450 games in. Ortiz getting cut by the Twins in 2002 was one of the best things that could have happened to his career. Including his seasons with the Red Sox that followed, Ortiz hit .286/.380/.552 with 541 home runs and made 10 All-Star Games. He performed similarly in 85 career postseason games. He's 26th all time in slugging percentage, 23rd in RBIs, 17th in home runs, 12th in doubles, 32nd in total bases, 41st in walks and 64th in times on base. His .392 weighted on-base average is 117th all time.

Cooperstown chances: Overall, they're great, despite a drag on his stats because of defense (for performance and being mostly a DH). Ortiz's lack of fielding apparently hurts him with some voters, as does an association with PEDs that's based on one unverified positive test along with other suppositions. Ortiz is performing well among public ballots (via Ryan Thibidoux's trustworthy tracker), but it's possible he might miss this time and have to wait until next year. No other first-year candidate is trending toward election this time.

Carl Crawford

Crawford had a solid career for 15 seasons with the Rays, Red Sox and Dodgers, batting .290/.330/.435 with 136 home runs, 480 stolen bases, four All-Star appearances and one Gold Glove. He led the league in triples four times and stolen bases four more. He's 95th all time in triples and 43rd in steals. He's also 15th among all left fielders in career putouts. Jay Jaffe's JAWS system ranks him as the 44th-best left fielder in history.

Cooperstown chances: They’re unlikely with the BBWAA. And it's also unlikely Crawford will see another year on the ballot because of failing to receive at least 5% of the vote.

Prince Fielder

Strange but true: Fielder struck as many career home runs (319) as his father, Cecil. He also hit .283/.382/.506 in 12 seasons, finishing in the top 10 for MVP voting four times with the Brewers and Tigers. All time, his .506 slugging percentage is 97th, and he is 53rd in hit by pitches and 39th in intentional walks. He didn't play beyond his year-32 season because of injuries.

Cooperstown chances: Zero. He probably won't be on the ballot next year.

Ryan Howard

Howard twice led the National League in home runs and three times led in RBIs, batting .258/.343/.515 with 382 career home runs in 13 seasons with the Phillies. He won NL Rookie of the Year and NL MVP in consecutive seasons, and he finished in the top 10 in MVP voting six times.

Cooperstown chances: He’s unlikely to repeat on the ballot, but he does have at least three votes so far.

Tim Lincecum

A two-time NL Cy Young winner before age 26 and the league's strikeout king for three straight seasons, Lincecum was wildly entertaining early in his career before wear and tear diminished his results. He pitched two no-hitters and was an indispensable part of the Giants dynasty in the 2010s.

Cooperstown chances: He's struggling to reach the 5% threshold, but is still one of the best pitchers of his generation, albeit briefly.

Justin Morneau

He won American League MVP in 2006 with the Twins and won the NL batting title in 2014 with the Rockies to highlight his 14 major-league seasons. He batted .281/.348/.481 with 247 home runs, numbers that certainly were diminished by a mid-career concussion that affected him for multiple years.

Cooperstown chances: He's not likely to return to the ballot next season. But there's always the broadcast wing of the Hall someday.

Joe Nathan

The sneaky underrated closer was a six-time All-Star over 16 seasons with the Twins, Giants, Tigers, Rangers and Cubs. He never led the league in saves, but he is eighth all time. He’s also 30th among all pitchers in history in Win Probability Added (right behind Hall of Famer Dennis Eckersley).

Cooperstown chances: There are worse closers in the Hall and probably there will be more someday. He will need more than four votes to make the ballot next season.

Jonathan Papelbon

He is 10th on the all-time saves list and 48th in WPA, so not as good as Nathan, but he had a great career for 12 seasons with the Red Sox, Phillies and Nationals. The six-time All-Star was perhaps one of the 140 or 150 best pitchers ever, even if it was one inning at a time.

Cooperstown chances: Not even a character reference from Bryce Harper probably could persuade enough voters to let Papelbon back on the ballot next season.

Jake Peavy

A two-time ERA champ, a two-time strikeouts leader and a Cy Young winner in 2007, Peavy made 388 career starts and three All-Star teams in 15 seasons with the Padres, White Sox, Red Sox and Giants. He can also sing and play the guitar.

Cooperstown chances: Unlikely to return to the ballot next year.

A.J. Pierzynski

Among catchers all time, he is 30th in home runs, 24th in RBIs and 23rd in wOBA with at least 7,000 plate appearances. He's 18th in wOBA if you bump it to 7,500 PAs, which would exclude Bill Dickey (among others), so we're not going to do that. But Pierzynski had a career of substance (elite annoyance).

Cooperstown chances: He's not getting enough run to receive another shot next year.


Álex Rodríguez

One of the best baseball players ever over a 22-year career, Rodríguez cost himself at least $40 million, a chance at 700 career home runs and possibly membership in the Hall of Fame because he got caught taking PEDs. He's fourth all time in homers and fourth in RBIs, and he is ranked by JAWS as the second-best shortstop of all time after playing with the Mariners, Rangers and Yankees.

Cooperstown chances: He will be lucky to get 50 percent of the vote this time, so he'll be on the ballot for the foreseeable future. But it will take shifts in attitudes, values and electorates for him to join the Hall someday.

Jimmy Rollins

He batted .264/.324/.418 with 231 homers (10th among shortstops), coming away with the 2007 NL MVP and four Gold Gloves in his 17 seasons, mostly with the Phillies. He led the league in triples four times and stolen bases once.

Cooperstown chances: He's in good shape to repeat on the ballot, but he's a long ways from lasting support or a real shot at induction.

Mark Teixeira

He was on a Hall of Fame trajectory for the first 1,000 or so games of his career before finishing with a .268/.360/.509 line and 409 home runs in 14 seasons. Because of injuries, Teixeira batted .239/.335/.461 in his final 802 games. He finished second in AL MVP voting with the Yankees in 2009, when they most recently won the World Series.

Cooperstown chances: He'll get at least one vote, but unless there's a secret Teixeira cabal among the unreported voters, he won't get a second season on the ballot.

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